Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale

Dec 5, 2009Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Jon Madsen

Record: 8-2-0

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Justin Wren

Record: 13-2-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jon Madsen

Justin Wren

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jon Madsen

Justin Wren

Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jon Madsen

KO/TKO (21%)

Decision (63%)

Losses (17%)

Justin Wren

Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency71%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Jon Madsen

Justin Wren

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From opening bell, Jon Madsen can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.5 significant strikes per minute while Justin Wren looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jon Madsen

Jon Madsen finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (21%)

Decision (63%)

Losses (17%)

Jon Madsen breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency71%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Jon Madsen's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Justin Wren must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jon Madsen brings the more polished entries (71%) while Justin Wren relies on defensive frames (100%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Justin Wren

Justin Wren finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Justin Wren breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ95%

Justin Wren's recent form

Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

240 lbs (109 kg)

•

265 lbs (120 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

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Stance

Orthodox

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Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Justin Wren averages 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Jon Madsen sits at 2.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jon Madsen and Justin Wren, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Madsen vs Wren odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Madsen vs Wren

Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren is on the The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale card on Dec 5, 2009 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Madsen vs Wren: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.