UFC Fight Night
Sep 5, 2026In 48 daysAccor Arena, Paris, France
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Muhammad Naimov 2.6 SLpM, Losene Keita —
  • Striking Accuracy: Muhammad Naimov 40%, Losene Keita —
  • Damage Avoidance: Muhammad Naimov 3.5 abs/min, Losene Keita —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Muhammad Naimov 36%, Losene Keita —
  • Takedown Defense: Muhammad Naimov 67%, Losene Keita —
  • Submission Threat: Muhammad Naimov 0.2 per 15m, Losene Keita —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Muhammad Naimov
Losene Keita

Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Muhammad Naimov
5-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Decision (47%)
Losses (22%)
Losene Keita
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense67%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Muhammad Naimov
Losene Keita

This featherweight scrap at UFC Paris is all about momentum versus experience. Muhammad Naimov comes in riding high after back to back wins over Kaan Ofli and Bogdan Grad, showing he can grind out decisions when needed. The Tajikistan fighter looked sharp in those unanimous nods, landing 79 strikes against Ofli and controlling over five minutes of cage time. But his last outing was rough, getting stopped by Mairon Santos with punches in the third round at UFC 323. Losene Keita is making his second walk to the Octagon after a tough welcome to the UFC.

Key Storylines
  • Naimov looking to rebound after Santos knockout loss
  • Keita hunting first UFC win in front of Paris crowd
  • Battle of volume strikers who love the standup game
Finishing Window

Both guys have shown they can push pace into the third round, so expect the real fireworks when the gas tanks start running low.

The Belgian dropped a split decision to Nathaniel Wood back in March at UFC London, landing 52 strikes but getting edged out on two scorecards. That's a hell of a debut opponent, and the fight being that close shows Keita belongs at this level. Here's what makes this interesting: Naimov has proven he can take you into deep water and win rounds with volume and control. He's 2 for 2 on takedowns against Ofli and showed he can mix things up. Keita's only UFC data comes from the Wood fight where he threw 119 strikes and kept it standing the whole time.

Both guys are hungry to make a statement in Paris. For Naimov, this is about bouncing back from that knockout loss and proving he's still climbing. For Keita, it's about getting that first UFC win on home soil in front of a crazy French crowd.

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Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita Stats Comparison

Age
31
28
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
154 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita AI Analysis

Pace delta

Limited volume data in the official feed for this matchup.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Muhammad Naimov and Losene Keita, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Naimov vs Keita odds

Live Polymarket odds for Muhammad Naimov vs Losene Keita are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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