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UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Aug 27, 2016Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Kevin Casey 2.3 SLpM, Sam Alvey 3.3 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Kevin Casey 53%, Sam Alvey 44%
  • Damage Avoidance: Kevin Casey 3.8 abs/min, Sam Alvey 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Kevin Casey 22%, Sam Alvey 14%
  • Takedown Defense: Kevin Casey 27%, Sam Alvey 82%
  • Submission Threat: Kevin Casey 0.4 per 15m, Sam Alvey 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kevin Casey
Sam Alvey

Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Kevin Casey
2-3UFC Record
Decision (54%)
Losses (46%)
No Contest (2)
Sam Alvey
11-13UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Sub (6%)
Decision (25%)
Losses (37%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense27%
Cardio & Endurance72%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense82%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Kevin Casey
Sam Alvey

From opening bell, Kevin Casey can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.3 significant strikes per minute while Sam Alvey looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey Stats Comparison

Age
45
•
40
Height
5'11" (180 cm)
•
6'2" (188 cm)
Weight
185 lbs (84 kg)
•
185 lbs (84 kg)
Reach
77" (196 cm)
•
75" (191 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Sam Alvey averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Kevin Casey sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Kevin Casey and Sam Alvey, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Casey vs Alvey odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Casey vs Alvey

Kevin Casey vs Sam Alvey is on the UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit card on Aug 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Casey vs Alvey: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events