Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson

Jan 24, 2015Stockholm, Sweden

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Phil Davis

Record: 17-4-0

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Ryan Bader

Record: 23-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Phil Davis

Ryan Bader

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Phil Davis

Ryan Bader

Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Phil Davis

Sub (27%)

Decision (54%)

Losses (19%)

No Contest (1)

Ryan Bader

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Phil Davis

Ryan Bader

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From opening bell, Phil Davis can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.9 significant strikes per minute while Ryan Bader looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Phil Davis

Phil Davis finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (27%)

Decision (54%)

Losses (19%)

No Contest (1)

Phil Davis breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ90%

Phil Davis's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ryan Bader must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ryan Bader owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (44%) but must solve the 72% sprawl from Phil Davis.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Ryan Bader

Ryan Bader finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (20%)

Ryan Bader breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Ryan Bader's recent form

Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

79" (201 cm)

•

74" (188 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

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Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Phil Davis and Ryan Bader, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Davis vs Bader odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Davis vs Bader

Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader is on the UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson card on Jan 24, 2015 at Stockholm, Sweden. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Davis vs Bader: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.