Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho

UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz

Mar 16, 2013Montreal, Quebec, Canada

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Darren Elkins

Record: 29-13-0

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Antonio Carvalho

Record: 15-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Darren Elkins

Antonio Carvalho

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Darren Elkins

Antonio Carvalho

Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Darren Elkins

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (46%)

Losses (28%)

Antonio Carvalho

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy29%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Darren Elkins

Antonio Carvalho

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From opening bell, Darren Elkins can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Antonio Carvalho looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Darren Elkins

Darren Elkins finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (46%)

Losses (28%)

Darren Elkins breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense56%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ75%

Darren Elkins's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Antonio Carvalho must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Darren Elkins brings the more polished entries (33%) while Antonio Carvalho relies on defensive frames (100%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Antonio Carvalho

Antonio Carvalho finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (33%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (33%)

Antonio Carvalho breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy29%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Antonio Carvalho's recent form

Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Darren Elkins averages 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Antonio Carvalho sits at 3.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Darren Elkins and Antonio Carvalho, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Elkins vs Carvalho odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Elkins vs Carvalho

Darren Elkins vs Antonio Carvalho is on the UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz card on Mar 16, 2013 at Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Elkins vs Carvalho: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.