Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark

Nov 28, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Bill Algeo

Record: 18-9-0

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Spike Carlyle

Record: 9-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Bill Algeo

Spike Carlyle

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Bill Algeo

Spike Carlyle

Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Bill Algeo

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (40%)

Losses (33%)

Spike Carlyle

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Bill Algeo

Spike Carlyle

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From opening bell, Bill Algeo can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Spike Carlyle looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Bill Algeo

Bill Algeo finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (40%)

Losses (33%)

Bill Algeo breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Bill Algeo's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Spike Carlyle must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Bill Algeo brings the more polished entries (50%) while Spike Carlyle relies on defensive frames (57%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Spike Carlyle

Spike Carlyle finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Spike Carlyle breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Spike Carlyle's recent form

Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Switch

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.3 significant strikes/min

Bill Algeo averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Spike Carlyle sits at 2.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Bill Algeo
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	2-3-0	5-5-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (50%)	2 (40%)
KO/TKO wins	0	1
Submission wins	1	1
Average fight time	9:52	11:37
Total strikes landed per min	8.78	8.45
Takedowns landed per 15 min	1.49	1.28
Control time per 15 min	2:28	3:11

Spike Carlyle
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	1-2-0	1-2-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (100%)	1 (100%)
KO/TKO wins	1	1
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	10:28	10:28
Total strikes landed per min	4.27	4.27
Takedowns landed per 15 min	3.00	3.00
Control time per 15 min	9:01	9:01

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Bill Algeo 7/10, Spike Carlyle 1/3.

Bill Algeo and Spike Carlyle: common opponents

Bill Algeo and Spike Carlyle have no common UFC opponents yet.

Previous meetings

Bill Algeo: Win Decision – Unanimous · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 2020

Bill Algeo: last 5 UFC fights

LossDooho ChoiKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 2024
LossKyle NelsonKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 2024
WinAlexander HernandezDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 2023
WinTJ BrownSubmission, R2· UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 2023
LossAndre FiliDecision – Split· UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Sep 2022

Spike Carlyle: last 5 UFC fights

LossBill AlgeoDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 2020
LossBilly QuarantilloDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · May 2020
WinAalon CruzKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 2020

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Bill Algeo and Spike Carlyle, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Algeo vs Carlyle odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Algeo vs Carlyle

Bill Algeo vs Spike Carlyle is on the UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark card on Nov 28, 2020 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Algeo vs Carlyle: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.