Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Mar 18, 2023London, England, United Kingdom

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Omar Morales

Record: 11-4-0

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Chris Duncan

Record: 15-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Omar Morales

Chris Duncan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Omar Morales

Chris Duncan

Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Omar Morales

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Chris Duncan

Sub (40%)

Decision (40%)

Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency98%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency54%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Omar Morales

Chris Duncan

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From opening bell, Omar Morales can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Chris Duncan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Omar Morales

Omar Morales finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Omar Morales breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency98%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Omar Morales's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Chris Duncan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Omar Morales brings the more polished entries (100%) while Chris Duncan relies on defensive frames (55%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (40%)

Decision (40%)

Losses (20%)

Chris Duncan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency54%

Takedown Defense55%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Chris Duncan's recent form

Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.4 significant strikes/min

Chris Duncan averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Omar Morales sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Omar Morales and Chris Duncan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Morales vs Duncan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Morales vs Duncan

Omar Morales vs Chris Duncan is on the UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 card on Mar 18, 2023 at London, England, United Kingdom. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Morales vs Duncan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.