Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping

Nov 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

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Jake Matthews

Record: 22-8-0

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Vagner Rocha

Record: 14-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jake Matthews

Vagner Rocha

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jake Matthews

Vagner Rocha

Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jake Matthews

KO/TKO (5%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (25%)

Vagner Rocha

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Jake Matthews

Vagner Rocha

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From opening bell, Jake Matthews can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Vagner Rocha looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

Jake Matthews

Jake Matthews finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (5%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (25%)

Jake Matthews breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Jake Matthews's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Vagner Rocha must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jake Matthews brings the more polished entries (41%) while Vagner Rocha relies on defensive frames (50%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Vagner Rocha

Vagner Rocha finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (57%)

Losses (43%)

Vagner Rocha breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Vagner Rocha's recent form

Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

73" (185 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.7 significant strikes/min

Jake Matthews averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Vagner Rocha sits at 2.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jake Matthews and Vagner Rocha, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Matthews vs Rocha odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Matthews vs Rocha

Jake Matthews vs Vagner Rocha is on the UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping card on Nov 7, 2014 at Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Matthews vs Rocha: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.