Jason Black vs Matt Grice

UFC 77: Hostile Territory

Oct 20, 2007Cincinnati, Ohio, USA

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Jason Black

Record: 23-4-1

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Matt Grice

Record: 15-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason Black

Matt Grice

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason Black

Matt Grice

Jason Black vs Matt Grice AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jason Black vs Matt Grice

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jason Black

Losses (100%)

Matt Grice

Decision (58%)

Losses (42%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense28%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense82%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Jason Black

Matt Grice

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From opening bell, Jason Black can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.1 significant strikes per minute while Matt Grice looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jason Black

Jason Black finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Jason Black breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense28%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Jason Black's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Matt Grice must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matt Grice owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (37%) but must solve the 28% sprawl from Jason Black.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Matt Grice

Matt Grice finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (58%)

Losses (42%)

Matt Grice breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense82%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ90%

Matt Grice's recent form

Jason Black vs Matt Grice Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

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5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

—

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70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

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Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jason Black vs Matt Grice AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.0 significant strikes/min

Matt Grice averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Jason Black sits at 1.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jason Black and Matt Grice, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jason Black vs Matt Grice.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Black vs Grice odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jason Black vs Matt Grice, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Black vs Grice

Jason Black vs Matt Grice is on the UFC 77: Hostile Territory card on Oct 20, 2007 at Cincinnati, Ohio, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Black vs Grice: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.