Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Dec 29, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

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Chad Mendes

Record: 18-5-0

agentmma.com

Alexander Volkanovski

Record: 28-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Chad Mendes

Alexander Volkanovski

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Chad Mendes

Alexander Volkanovski

Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Chad Mendes

KO/TKO (49%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (26%)

Alexander Volkanovski

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (57%)

Losses (14%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Chad Mendes

Alexander Volkanovski

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From opening bell, Chad Mendes can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Alexander Volkanovski looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Chad Mendes

Chad Mendes finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (49%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (26%)

Chad Mendes breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense100%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ90%

Chad Mendes's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Alexander Volkanovski must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Chad Mendes brings the more polished entries (55%) while Alexander Volkanovski relies on defensive frames (68%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Alexander Volkanovski

Alexander Volkanovski finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (57%)

Losses (14%)

Alexander Volkanovski breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Alexander Volkanovski's recent form

Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'6" (168 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

66" (168 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

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—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.2 significant strikes/min

Alexander Volkanovski averages 6.0 significant strikes per minute while Chad Mendes sits at 2.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Chad Mendes
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	2-3-0	9-5-0
Wins inside the distance	2 (100%)	6 (67%)
KO/TKO wins	2	6
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	5:27	8:19
Total strikes landed per min	7.09	3.82
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	3.18
Control time per 15 min	1:58	3:42

Alexander Volkanovski
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	3-2-0	15-3-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (33%)	5 (33%)
KO/TKO wins	1	5
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	15:11	16:50
Total strikes landed per min	6.48	7.18
Takedowns landed per 15 min	2.22	1.88
Control time per 15 min	2:42	3:09

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Chad Mendes 11/14, Alexander Volkanovski 12/18.

Chad Mendes and Alexander Volkanovski: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

Opponent	Chad Mendes	Alexander Volkanovski
Jose Aldo	Loss Decision – Unanimous · Oct 2014Loss KO/TKO, R1 · Jan 2012	Win Decision – Unanimous · May 2019
Darren Elkins	Win KO/TKO, R1 · Apr 2013	Win Decision – Unanimous · Jul 2018

Previous meetings

Chad Mendes: Loss KO/TKO, R2 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 2018

Chad Mendes: last 5 UFC fights

LossAlexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO, R2· UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 2018
WinMyles JuryKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 2018
LossFrankie EdgarKO/TKO, R1· The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · Dec 2015
LossConor McGregorKO/TKO, R2· UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · Jul 2015
WinRicardo LamasKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · Apr 2015

Alexander Volkanovski: last 5 UFC fights

WinDiego LopesDecision – Unanimous· UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Jan 2026
WinDiego LopesDecision – Unanimous· UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 2025
LossIlia TopuriaKO/TKO, R2· UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 2024
LossIslam MakhachevKO/TKO, R1· UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 2023
WinYair RodriguezKO/TKO, R3· UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 2023

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Chad Mendes and Alexander Volkanovski, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mendes vs Volkanovski odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mendes vs Volkanovski

Chad Mendes vs Alexander Volkanovski is on the UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 card on Dec 29, 2018 at Los Angeles, California, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mendes vs Volkanovski: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.