Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley

Dec 14, 2024Tampa, Florida, USA

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Joaquin Buckley

Record: 21-8-0

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Colby Covington

Record: 17-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joaquin Buckley

Colby Covington

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joaquin Buckley

Colby Covington

Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joaquin Buckley

KO/TKO (40%)

Decision (34%)

Losses (26%)

Colby Covington

KO/TKO (19%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (23%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency52%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Joaquin Buckley

Colby Covington

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From opening bell, Joaquin Buckley can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Colby Covington looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Joaquin Buckley

Joaquin Buckley finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (40%)

Decision (34%)

Losses (26%)

Joaquin Buckley breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Joaquin Buckley's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Colby Covington must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Joaquin Buckley brings the more polished entries (45%) while Colby Covington relies on defensive frames (68%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Colby Covington

Colby Covington finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (19%)

Sub (13%)

Decision (45%)

Losses (23%)

Colby Covington breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency52%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ75%

Colby Covington's recent form

Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joaquin Buckley and Colby Covington, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Buckley vs Covington odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Buckley vs Covington

Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington is on the UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley card on Dec 14, 2024 at Tampa, Florida, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Buckley vs Covington: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.