Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis

Mar 23, 2019Nashville, Tennessee, USA

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Justin Willis

Record: 8-2-0

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Curtis Blaydes

Record: 20-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Justin Willis

Curtis Blaydes

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Justin Willis

Curtis Blaydes

Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Justin Willis

KO/TKO (21%)

Decision (63%)

Losses (17%)

Curtis Blaydes

KO/TKO (37%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (21%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy59%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense36%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Justin Willis

Curtis Blaydes

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From opening bell, Justin Willis can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Curtis Blaydes looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Justin Willis

Justin Willis finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (21%)

Decision (63%)

Losses (17%)

Justin Willis breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy59%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense36%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Justin Willis's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Curtis Blaydes must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Justin Willis brings the more polished entries (66%) while Curtis Blaydes relies on defensive frames (35%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Curtis Blaydes

Curtis Blaydes finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (37%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (21%)

No Contest (1)

Curtis Blaydes breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense35%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ85%

Curtis Blaydes's recent form

Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

6'4" (193 cm)

Weight

264 lbs (120 kg)

•

265 lbs (120 kg)

Reach

78" (198 cm)

•

80" (203 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.6 significant strikes/min

Curtis Blaydes averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Justin Willis sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Justin Willis
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	4-1-0	4-1-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (25%)	1 (25%)
KO/TKO wins	1	1
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	12:31	12:31
Total strikes landed per min	4.67	4.67
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.46	0.46
Control time per 15 min	1:24	1:24

Curtis Blaydes
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	3-2-0	15-6-0 (1 NC)
Wins inside the distance	1 (33%)	8 (53%)
KO/TKO wins	1	8
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	10:19	9:29
Total strikes landed per min	5.79	5.68
Takedowns landed per 15 min	1.39	5.36
Control time per 15 min	3:49	7:20

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Justin Willis 3/5, Curtis Blaydes 13/22.

Justin Willis and Curtis Blaydes: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

Opponent	Justin Willis	Curtis Blaydes
Mark Hunt	Win Decision – Unanimous · Dec 2018	Win Decision – Unanimous · Feb 2018

Previous meetings

Justin Willis: Loss Decision – Unanimous · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 2019

Justin Willis: last 5 UFC fights

LossCurtis BlaydesDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 2019
WinMark HuntDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Dec 2018
WinChase ShermanDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · Apr 2018
WinAllen CrowderKO/TKO, R1· UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 2017
WinJames MulheronDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · Jul 2017

Curtis Blaydes: last 5 UFC fights

WinWaldo Cortes AcostaDecision – Unanimous· Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Sep 2026
LossJosh HokitDecision – Unanimous· UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Apr 2026
WinRizvan KunievDecision – Split· UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 2025
LossTom AspinallKO/TKO, R1· UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 2024
WinJailton AlmeidaKO/TKO, R2· UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Justin Willis and Curtis Blaydes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Willis vs Blaydes odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Willis vs Blaydes

Justin Willis vs Curtis Blaydes is on the UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis card on Mar 23, 2019 at Nashville, Tennessee, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Willis vs Blaydes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.