MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

Jun 7, 2025Newark, New Jersey, USA

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MarQuel Mederos

Record: 12-1-1

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Mark Choinski

Record: 8-1-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

MarQuel Mederos

Mark Choinski

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

MarQuel Mederos

Mark Choinski

MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

MarQuel Mederos

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (75%)

Mark Choinski

Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy60%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

MarQuel Mederos

Mark Choinski

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From opening bell, MarQuel Mederos can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Mark Choinski looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

MarQuel Mederos

MarQuel Mederos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (75%)

MarQuel Mederos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy60%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

MarQuel Mederos's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Mark Choinski must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Mark Choinski owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (18%) but must solve the 80% sprawl from MarQuel Mederos.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Mark Choinski

Mark Choinski finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Mark Choinski breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Mark Choinski's recent form

MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

MarQuel Mederos averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Mark Choinski sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare MarQuel Mederos and Mark Choinski, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mederos vs Choinski odds

When Polymarket opens a market for MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mederos vs Choinski

MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski is on the UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 card on Jun 7, 2025 at Newark, New Jersey, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mederos vs Choinski: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.