Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale

Apr 9, 2005Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Alex Karalexis

Record: 10-6-0

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Josh Rafferty

Record: 9-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alex Karalexis

Josh Rafferty

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alex Karalexis

Josh Rafferty

Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alex Karalexis

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Josh Rafferty

Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Alex Karalexis

Josh Rafferty

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From opening bell, Alex Karalexis can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.6 significant strikes per minute while Josh Rafferty looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Alex Karalexis

Alex Karalexis finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Alex Karalexis breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Alex Karalexis's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Josh Rafferty must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Alex Karalexis brings the more polished entries (45%) while Josh Rafferty relies on defensive frames (—).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Josh Rafferty

Josh Rafferty finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Josh Rafferty breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ70%

Josh Rafferty's recent form

Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

6'0" (183 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

66" (168 cm)

•

—

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.0 significant strikes/min

Alex Karalexis averages 2.6 significant strikes per minute while Josh Rafferty sits at 0.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alex Karalexis and Josh Rafferty, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Karalexis vs Rafferty odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Karalexis vs Rafferty

Alex Karalexis vs Josh Rafferty is on the The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale card on Apr 9, 2005 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Karalexis vs Rafferty: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.