Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald

Feb 16, 2013London, England, United Kingdom

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Jorge Santiago

Record: 25-12-0

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Gunnar Nelson

Record: 19-6-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jorge Santiago

Gunnar Nelson

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jorge Santiago

Gunnar Nelson

Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jorge Santiago

KO/TKO (55%)

Losses (45%)

Gunnar Nelson

Sub (58%)

Decision (15%)

Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense52%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy61%

Grappling Efficiency88%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Jorge Santiago

Gunnar Nelson

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From opening bell, Jorge Santiago can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.7 significant strikes per minute while Gunnar Nelson looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jorge Santiago

Jorge Santiago finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (55%)

Losses (45%)

Jorge Santiago breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense52%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Jorge Santiago's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Gunnar Nelson must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Gunnar Nelson owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (52%) but must solve the 52% sprawl from Jorge Santiago.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Gunnar Nelson

Gunnar Nelson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (58%)

Decision (15%)

Losses (27%)

Gunnar Nelson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy61%

Grappling Efficiency88%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ85%

Gunnar Nelson's recent form

Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

75" (191 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

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—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson AI Analysis

Pace delta

Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jorge Santiago and Gunnar Nelson, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Santiago vs Nelson odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Santiago vs Nelson

Jorge Santiago vs Gunnar Nelson is on the UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald card on Feb 16, 2013 at London, England, United Kingdom. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Santiago vs Nelson: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.