Oban ElliottvsJonathan Micallef

From opening bell, Oban Elliott can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Jonathan Micallef looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative. Jonathan Micallef must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jonathan Micallef owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 72% sprawl from Oban Elliott.

Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.