UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Thomas Petersen can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Guilherme Pat looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative.
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Thomas Petersen finish map

Thomas Petersen breakdown
Thomas Petersen's recent form
From opening bell, Thomas Petersen can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Guilherme Pat looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative. Guilherme Pat must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Thomas Petersen brings the more polished entries (43%) while Guilherme Pat relies on defensive frames (100%).
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
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Guilherme Pat breakdown
Guilherme Pat's recent form
Delta de ritmo
+0.4 golpes significativos/min
Thomas Petersen conecta un promedio de 3.1 golpes significativos por minuto mientras Guilherme Pat está en 2.7.
Confianza de IA
86%
Ponderación de probabilidad del simulador AgentMMA.
Radar de finalización
Ventana de finalización de alta convicción detectada. Desbloquea para el desglose completo.
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Thomas Petersen vs Guilherme Pat odds: Polymarket odds are added to this page when the market opens.