Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Jul 19, 2025New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

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Dustin Poirier

Record: 30-10-0

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Max Holloway

Record: 28-9-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Dustin Poirier

Max Holloway

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Dustin Poirier

Max Holloway

Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Dustin Poirier

KO/TKO (35%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (22%)

No Contest (1)

Max Holloway

KO/TKO (36%)

Sub (7%)

Decision (36%)

Losses (21%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency63%

Takedown Defense81%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Dustin Poirier

Max Holloway

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From opening bell, Dustin Poirier can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Max Holloway looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Dustin Poirier

Dustin Poirier finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (35%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (28%)

Losses (22%)

No Contest (1)

Dustin Poirier breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ75%

Dustin Poirier's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Max Holloway must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Max Holloway owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (53%) but must solve the 64% sprawl from Dustin Poirier.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Max Holloway

Max Holloway finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (36%)

Sub (7%)

Decision (36%)

Losses (21%)

Max Holloway breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency63%

Takedown Defense81%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ80%

Max Holloway's recent form

Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Max Holloway averages 6.9 significant strikes per minute while Dustin Poirier sits at 5.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Dustin Poirier
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	2-3-0	22-9-0 (1 NC)
Wins inside the distance	2 (100%)	15 (68%)
KO/TKO wins	1	11
Submission wins	1	4
Average fight time	14:39	10:53
Total strikes landed per min	4.55	6.38
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	1.29
Control time per 15 min	0:27	3:03

Max Holloway
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	3-2-0	24-9-0
Wins inside the distance	2 (67%)	14 (58%)
KO/TKO wins	2	12
Submission wins	0	2
Average fight time	17:32	16:11
Total strikes landed per min	7.79	7.91
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	0.32
Control time per 15 min	0:38	0:56

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Dustin Poirier 26/32, Max Holloway 23/33.

Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

Opponent	Dustin Poirier	Max Holloway
Conor McGregor	Win TKO – Doctor's Stoppage, R1 · Jul 2021Win KO/TKO, R2 · Jan 2021Loss KO/TKO, R1 · Sep 2014	Win KO/TKO, R1 · Jul 2026Loss Decision – Unanimous · Aug 2013
Charles Oliveira	Loss Submission, R3 · Dec 2021	Loss Decision – Unanimous · Mar 2026Win KO/TKO, R1 · Aug 2015
Justin Gaethje	Loss KO/TKO, R2 · Jul 2023Win KO/TKO, R4 · Apr 2018	Win KO/TKO, R5 · Apr 2024
Chan Sung Jung	Loss Submission, R4 · May 2012	Win KO/TKO, R3 · Aug 2023
Anthony Pettis	Win KO/TKO, R3 · Nov 2017	Win KO/TKO, R3 · Dec 2016
Cub Swanson	Loss Decision – Unanimous · Feb 2013	Win Submission, R3 · Apr 2015
Akira Corassani	Win KO/TKO, R2 · Apr 2014	Win KO/TKO, R1 · Oct 2014

Previous meetings

Dustin Poirier: Loss Decision – Unanimous · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 2025
Dustin Poirier: Win Decision – Unanimous · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 2019
Dustin Poirier: Win Submission, R1 · UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · Feb 2012

Dustin Poirier: last 5 UFC fights

LossMax HollowayDecision – Unanimous· UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 2025
LossIslam MakhachevSubmission, R5· UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 2024
WinBenoit Saint DenisKO/TKO, R2· UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Mar 2024
LossJustin GaethjeKO/TKO, R2· UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 2023
WinMichael ChandlerSubmission, R3· UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 2022

Max Holloway: last 5 UFC fights

WinConor McGregorKO/TKO, R1· UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Jul 2026
LossCharles OliveiraDecision – Unanimous· UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Mar 2026
WinDustin PoirierDecision – Unanimous· UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 2025
LossIlia TopuriaKO/TKO, R3· UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 2024
WinJustin GaethjeKO/TKO, R5· UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Dustin Poirier and Max Holloway, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Poirier vs Holloway odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Poirier vs Holloway

Dustin Poirier vs Max Holloway is on the UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 card on Jul 19, 2025 at New Orleans, Louisiana, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Poirier vs Holloway: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.