UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Mar 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Charles Oliveira 3.4 SLpM, Max Holloway 6.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 54%, Max Holloway 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Charles Oliveira 3.2 abs/min, Max Holloway 4.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 40%, Max Holloway 53%
  • Takedown Defense: Charles Oliveira 54%, Max Holloway 81%
  • Submission Threat: Charles Oliveira 2.6 per 15m, Max Holloway 0.3 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway

Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Charles Oliveira
25-11UFC Record
KO/TKO (12%)
Sub (52%)
Decision (12%)
Losses (23%)
No Contest (1)
Max Holloway
24-9UFC Record
KO/TKO (36%)
Sub (7%)
Decision (36%)
Losses (21%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency94%
Takedown Defense54%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency63%
Takedown Defense81%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Charles Oliveira
Max Holloway

Max Holloway defending the BMF title against Charles Oliveira is the kind of fight that makes you clear your Saturday night. Holloway's coming off that absolute banger decision over Dustin Poirier at UFC 318 in July, landing 201 strikes and proving he's still one of the most dangerous dudes at 155. That win marked his permanent move to lightweight, leaving the featherweight division behind for good. But let's not forget, he took that brutal knockout loss to Ilia Topuria back in October 2024 when he tried to reclaim the featherweight belt. Now he's locked in at lightweight with that BMF strap, and Oliveira wants it. Charles has been on a mission since getting starched by Topuria in that lightweight title fight at UFC 317. He bounced back hard, submitting Mateusz Gamrot with a rear naked choke in October, then grinding out Michael Chandler over five rounds at UFC 309. That Chandler fight showed he can control the chaos when he needs to, racking up nearly 15 minutes of control time and landing five takedowns. The guy's a submission artist who can also piece you up on the feet.

Key Storylines
  • Holloway's volume striking versus Oliveira's submission hunting
  • Both bounced back from brutal Topuria knockouts
  • BMF belt adds extra stakes to this lightweight war
Finishing Window

Expect fireworks in rounds 2 and 3 when Oliveira starts hunting for the finish and Holloway's pace really takes over.

His coach Diego Lima has been running camp in Sao Paulo, keeping things local this time around to maintain the progress they've been making. This is a wild stylistic puzzle. Holloway's that high volume striker who just keeps coming, throwing hundreds of strikes like he did against Poirier. Oliveira's got that Brazilian jiu jitsu black belt magic and isn't afraid to get wild in the pocket. Both guys are Orthodox, both love to finish fights, and neither one backs down. Holloway's never been submitted in the UFC, but Oliveira's choked out some absolute killers. The interesting wrinkle here is that Holloway himself has been heaping praise on Oliveira's improved striking, showing the respect these two legends have for each other heading into fight week. Holloway even said he won't rule out getting a submission win himself, showing he's confident in all aspects of the game. The BMF title is on the line at UFC 326 at T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on March 7th, and both these legends are trying to cement their legacy at 155.

Holloway's made it clear his ultimate goal is winning the undisputed lightweight championship, making this BMF defense a crucial step in that journey. Fans are still buzzing about that iconic knockout Holloway landed on Gaethje at UFC 300, pointing to the center of the cage with one second left. That famous gesture actually started way back in 2016, and Holloway recently shared the story behind it during fight week media. Can he keep it standing and drown Oliveira in volume, or does Charles find that neck and add another legendary submission to his resume? There's also been some fascinating talk about that mysterious injury Oliveira suffered in their first meeting back in August 2015. The fight ended under two minutes when Charles sustained a neck injury that caused temporary paralysis on his left side. He recently revealed he thought his career was over at that moment, making this rematch over a decade in the making even more meaningful. The UFC has been stacking this card too, adding Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson to give fans even more lightweight action. Both those guys are bonus machines, so this March 7th event is shaping up to be an absolute war from top to bottom.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway Stats Comparison

Age
36
34
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'11" (180 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.6 significant strikes/min

Max Holloway averages 6.9 significant strikes per minute while Charles Oliveira sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Charles Oliveira and Max Holloway, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Oliveira vs Holloway odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Oliveira vs Holloway

Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway is on the UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 card on Mar 7, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Oliveira vs Holloway: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events