UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026In 55 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Charles Oliveira 3.4 SLpM, Arman Tsarukyan 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 54%, Arman Tsarukyan 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Charles Oliveira 3.2 abs/min, Arman Tsarukyan 1.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 40%, Arman Tsarukyan 37%
  • Takedown Defense: Charles Oliveira 54%, Arman Tsarukyan 75%
  • Submission Threat: Charles Oliveira 2.6 per 15m, Arman Tsarukyan 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Charles Oliveira
Arman Tsarukyan

Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Charles Oliveira
25-11UFC Record
KO/TKO (12%)
Sub (52%)
Decision (12%)
Losses (23%)
No Contest (1)
Arman Tsarukyan
10-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (34%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (43%)
Losses (14%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency94%
Takedown Defense54%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Charles Oliveira
Arman Tsarukyan

This is the rematch nobody saw coming so soon. Oliveira and Tsarukyan ran it back at UFC 300 in April 2024, and Arman took a split decision that could've gone either way. Now they're doing it again, this time with the BMF title on the line at UFC 331 in Los Angeles. The buzz around this one is real. Oliveira's been calling for title shots left and right, even pushing for a unifier with Justin Gaethje. Meanwhile, Tsarukyan just got worked by Colby Covington in a wrestling match at RAF 11, losing his crossover title, but that's a whole different sport.

Key Storylines
  • Split decision rematch from UFC 300 now has BMF gold attached
  • Oliveira's three fight win streak since the first loss to Arman
  • Tsarukyan's pressure wrestling versus Oliveira's submission wizardry
Finishing Window

Rounds two and three are where the grappling exchanges get dangerous and someone's neck or arm is in serious trouble.

Here's what makes this fight nasty. Oliveira's been on a tear since that first loss to Arman, beating Michael Chandler in a five round war, choking out Mateusz Gamrot in Brazil, then outpointing Max Holloway over five rounds in March. That Gamrot finish was vintage Do Bronxs, rear naked choke in round two after landing 76% of his strikes against Chandler. Tsarukyan's no slouch either. He arm triangled Dan Hooker in November, flatlined Beneil Dariush in 64 seconds back in 2023, and has been piecing guys up on the feet before dragging them into deep water. The technical chess match here is wild.

Both guys are orthodox, both can wrestle, both can finish. Oliveira's got that Brazilian jiu jitsu black belt magic, 18 submission wins in the UFC. Arman's more about pressure, control time, and breaking you down round by round. That first fight was close enough that either guy could flip the script. Oliveira's coach even posted a cryptic "Annnd NEEEEW!!" on social media, fueling speculation about what's coming. Dana White's calling Tsarukyan a top five star in the company right now, so the stakes couldn't be higher.

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Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan Stats Comparison

Age
36
29
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.5 significant strikes/min

Arman Tsarukyan averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Charles Oliveira sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Charles Oliveira and Arman Tsarukyan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Oliveira vs Tsarukyan odds

Live Polymarket odds for Charles Oliveira vs Arman Tsarukyan are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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