Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Sep 25, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Martin Sano

Record: 4-3-1

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Matthew Semelsberger

Record: 11-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Martin Sano

Matthew Semelsberger

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Martin Sano

Matthew Semelsberger

Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Martin Sano

Losses (100%)

Matthew Semelsberger

KO/TKO (26%)

Decision (39%)

Losses (35%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ65%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency57%

Takedown Defense45%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Martin Sano

Matthew Semelsberger

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From opening bell, Martin Sano can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Matthew Semelsberger looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Martin Sano

Martin Sano finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Losses (100%)

Martin Sano breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ65%

Martin Sano's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Matthew Semelsberger must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matthew Semelsberger owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (57%) but must solve the — sprawl from Martin Sano.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Matthew Semelsberger

Matthew Semelsberger finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (26%)

Decision (39%)

Losses (35%)

Matthew Semelsberger breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency57%

Takedown Defense45%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ70%

Matthew Semelsberger's recent form

Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

6'1" (185 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

75" (191 cm)

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75" (191 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

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—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.2 significant strikes/min

Martin Sano averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Matthew Semelsberger sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Martin Sano and Matthew Semelsberger, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Sano vs Semelsberger odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Sano vs Semelsberger

Martin Sano vs Matthew Semelsberger is on the UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega card on Sep 25, 2021 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Sano vs Semelsberger: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.