Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Sep 25, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Robbie Lawler

Record: 30-16-0

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Nick Diaz

Record: 26-10-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Robbie Lawler

Nick Diaz

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Robbie Lawler

Nick Diaz

Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Robbie Lawler

KO/TKO (38%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (29%)

Nick Diaz

KO/TKO (39%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (10%)

Losses (32%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency64%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Robbie Lawler

Nick Diaz

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From opening bell, Robbie Lawler can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Nick Diaz looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

Robbie Lawler

Robbie Lawler finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (38%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (29%)

Robbie Lawler breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency64%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Robbie Lawler's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Nick Diaz must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Robbie Lawler brings the more polished entries (64%) while Nick Diaz relies on defensive frames (60%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Nick Diaz

Nick Diaz finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (39%)

Sub (19%)

Decision (10%)

Losses (32%)

No Contest (1)

Nick Diaz breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense60%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Nick Diaz's recent form

Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

6'1" (185 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

74" (188 cm)

•

76" (193 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.9 significant strikes/min

Nick Diaz averages 5.7 significant strikes per minute while Robbie Lawler sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Robbie Lawler and Nick Diaz, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Lawler vs Diaz odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Lawler vs Diaz

Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz is on the UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega card on Sep 25, 2021 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Lawler vs Diaz: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.