Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza

UFC 79: Nemesis

Dec 29, 2007Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Roan Carneiro

Record: 21-11-0

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Tony DeSouza

Record: 11-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Roan Carneiro

Tony DeSouza

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Roan Carneiro

Tony DeSouza

Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Roan Carneiro

KO/TKO (16%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (36%)

Tony DeSouza

Sub (44%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense83%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense40%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Roan Carneiro

Tony DeSouza

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From opening bell, Roan Carneiro can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.5 significant strikes per minute while Tony DeSouza looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Roan Carneiro

Roan Carneiro finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (16%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (32%)

Losses (36%)

Roan Carneiro breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency47%

Takedown Defense83%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ90%

Roan Carneiro's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Tony DeSouza must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Tony DeSouza owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (42%) but must solve the 83% sprawl from Roan Carneiro.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Tony DeSouza

Tony DeSouza finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (44%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (33%)

Tony DeSouza breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense40%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ90%

Tony DeSouza's recent form

Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

6'0" (183 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Roan Carneiro averages 1.5 significant strikes per minute while Tony DeSouza sits at 1.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Roan Carneiro and Tony DeSouza, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Carneiro vs DeSouza odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Carneiro vs DeSouza

Roan Carneiro vs Tony DeSouza is on the UFC 79: Nemesis card on Dec 29, 2007 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Carneiro vs DeSouza: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.