Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Jul 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Melquizael Costa

Record: 26-8-0

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Austin Lingo

Record: 9-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Melquizael Costa

Austin Lingo

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Melquizael Costa

Austin Lingo

Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Melquizael Costa

KO/TKO (22%)

Sub (22%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (23%)

Austin Lingo

Decision (63%)

Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense75%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Melquizael Costa

Austin Lingo

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From opening bell, Melquizael Costa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Austin Lingo looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Melquizael Costa

Melquizael Costa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (22%)

Sub (22%)

Decision (33%)

Losses (23%)

Melquizael Costa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Melquizael Costa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Austin Lingo must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Austin Lingo owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (66%) but must solve the 50% sprawl from Melquizael Costa.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Austin Lingo

Austin Lingo finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (63%)

Losses (38%)

Austin Lingo breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency66%

Takedown Defense75%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Austin Lingo's recent form

Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Melquizael Costa averages 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Austin Lingo sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Melquizael Costa and Austin Lingo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Costa vs Lingo odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Costa vs Lingo

Melquizael Costa vs Austin Lingo is on the UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva card on Jul 15, 2023 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Costa vs Lingo: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.