Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Jul 15, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Tucker Lutz

Record: 12-4-0

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Melsik Baghdasaryan

Record: 8-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tucker Lutz

Melsik Baghdasaryan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tucker Lutz

Melsik Baghdasaryan

Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tucker Lutz

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Melsik Baghdasaryan

KO/TKO (22%)

Decision (44%)

Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense69%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Tucker Lutz

Melsik Baghdasaryan

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From opening bell, Tucker Lutz can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Melsik Baghdasaryan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Tucker Lutz

Tucker Lutz finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (57%)

Losses (43%)

Tucker Lutz breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense69%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Tucker Lutz's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Melsik Baghdasaryan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Tucker Lutz brings the more polished entries (44%) while Melsik Baghdasaryan relies on defensive frames (70%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Melsik Baghdasaryan

Melsik Baghdasaryan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (22%)

Decision (44%)

Losses (33%)

Melsik Baghdasaryan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense70%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Melsik Baghdasaryan's recent form

Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

72" (183 cm)

•

70" (178 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.2 significant strikes/min

Melsik Baghdasaryan averages 5.0 significant strikes per minute while Tucker Lutz sits at 3.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tucker Lutz and Melsik Baghdasaryan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Lutz vs Baghdasaryan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Lutz vs Baghdasaryan

Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan is on the UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva card on Jul 15, 2023 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Lutz vs Baghdasaryan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.