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UFC Fight Night: Qatar
Nov 21, 2026• In 51 daysDoha, Qatar
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Kevin Vallejos 6.1 SLpM, Aljamain Sterling 4.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Kevin Vallejos 48%, Aljamain Sterling 52%
  • Damage Avoidance: Kevin Vallejos 4.4 abs/min, Aljamain Sterling 2.2 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Kevin Vallejos 28%, Aljamain Sterling 30%
  • Takedown Defense: Kevin Vallejos 84%, Aljamain Sterling 44%
  • Submission Threat: Kevin Vallejos —, Aljamain Sterling 0.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kevin Vallejos
Aljamain Sterling

Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Kevin Vallejos
4-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (75%)
Decision (25%)
Aljamain Sterling
18-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (9%)
Sub (18%)
Decision (55%)
Losses (18%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense84%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense44%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Kevin Vallejos
Aljamain Sterling

Kevin Vallejos has given fans plenty to replay, and that spinning back fist against Giga Chikadze belongs near the top of the list. He stopped Chikadze in round 2, then stopped Josh Emmett with punches at distance in round 1, so meeting Aljamain Sterling at UFC Fight Night: Qatar feels like a whole new kind of test. Sterling comes in with consecutive unanimous decision wins over Youssef Zalal and Brian Ortega, after losing a unanimous decision to Movsar Evloev.

Key Storylines
  • Vallejos brings nasty finishes over Emmett and Chikadze into Doha.
  • Sterling arrives with consecutive unanimous decision wins over Zalal and Ortega.
  • Both are chasing a title chance, and Doha raises the stakes.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up late in the opening round, when quick striking exchanges and sustained wrestling attempts could leave less time to reset.

Here's the thing: those recent wins went the distance, and this matchup asks whether he can keep finding entries and controlling exchanges against a dangerous striker who can change stance. Vallejos needs room to punch and reset, with a quick response when Sterling reaches his hips rather than a long exchange with his back near the fence. Sterling needs his entries to lead somewhere, because chasing takedowns without settling into control gives Vallejos another chance to get his feet underneath him.

The interesting bit is the transition: a defended shot still leaves both men working, and that next scramble could matter as much as the first attempt. Both have talked about reaching the title picture, which gives every clean reset and hard scramble extra weight. The question in Doha is who gets to decide where the next exchange happens when the other man refuses to cooperate.

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Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling Stats Comparison

Age
24
•
37
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
•
71" (180 cm)
Stance
Switch
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Kevin Vallejos averages 6.1 significant strikes per minute while Aljamain Sterling sits at 4.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Kevin Vallejos and Aljamain Sterling, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Vallejos vs Sterling odds

Live Polymarket odds for Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Vallejos vs Sterling

Kevin Vallejos vs Aljamain Sterling is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Vallejos vs Sterling: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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