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UFC 336
Jan 30, 2027• In 108 daysToronto, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Islam Makhachev 2.3 SLpM, Carlos Prates 3.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Islam Makhachev 58%, Carlos Prates 55%
  • Damage Avoidance: Islam Makhachev 1.4 abs/min, Carlos Prates 4.5 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Islam Makhachev 54%, Carlos Prates 100%
  • Takedown Defense: Islam Makhachev 91%, Carlos Prates 80%
  • Submission Threat: Islam Makhachev 0.9 per 15m, Carlos Prates —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Islam Makhachev
Carlos Prates

Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Islam Makhachev
18-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (16%)
Sub (42%)
Decision (37%)
Losses (5%)
Carlos Prates
7-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (89%)
Losses (11%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%
Grappling Efficiency90%
Takedown Defense91%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ95%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%
Grappling Efficiency98%
Takedown Defense80%
Cardio & Endurance72%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Islam Makhachev
Carlos Prates

Islam Makhachev vs Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 336 in Las Vegas has a nasty twist: the champion's control meets a challenger whose grappling can turn a scramble dangerous. Fans have reason to get excited about this welterweight title fight, because Rakhmonov's return brings questions that a perfect record cannot answer. He last fought in December 2024, and reports of ongoing knee problems make his movement worth watching from the opening bell. Here's the thing: Ian Machado Garry is the obvious link between them, but he is not a shortcut to reading this matchup.

Key Storylines
  • Rakhmonov returns with knee questions that his perfect record cannot answer
  • Both beat Ian Machado Garry, but that only starts the conversation
  • Welterweight gold puts tight control against the threat of back takes
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in rounds 2 and 3, as repeated takedown attempts and escapes begin to test both men's pace.

Rakhmonov beat him by unanimous decision at UFC 310, and Makhachev did the same at UFC 330. Makhachev also went the distance in his unanimous decision win over Jack Della Maddalena, while Rakhmonov submitted Stephen Thompson and Geoff Neal. The fun part is what happens after the first takedown attempt, not just whether it lands. Makhachev needs to keep his positions tight and make Rakhmonov work to stand up, while Rakhmonov needs room to turn, separate and threaten the back.

Each escape creates another wrestling exchange, and those repeated efforts can make holding a steady pace harder. The belt raises the stakes, but the early exchanges should answer the most useful question. Can Rakhmonov find his rhythm after the layoff without letting Makhachev settle into long stretches of control?

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Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates Stats Comparison

Age
34
•
33
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
•
6'1" (185 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
•
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
•
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Switch
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.5 significant strikes/min

Carlos Prates averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Islam Makhachev sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Islam Makhachev and Carlos Prates, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Makhachev vs Prates odds

Live Polymarket odds for Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Makhachev vs Prates

Islam Makhachev vs Carlos Prates is on the UFC 336 card on Jan 30, 2027 at Toronto, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Makhachev vs Prates: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events