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UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Mar 19, 2022London, England, United Kingdom
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Alexander Volkov 4.8 SLpM, Tom Aspinall 7.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Alexander Volkov 57%, Tom Aspinall 67%
  • Damage Avoidance: Alexander Volkov 2.9 abs/min, Tom Aspinall 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Alexander Volkov 66%, Tom Aspinall 80%
  • Takedown Defense: Alexander Volkov 68%, Tom Aspinall 100%
  • Submission Threat: Alexander Volkov 0.2 per 15m, Tom Aspinall 1.3 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Volkov
Tom Aspinall

Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alexander Volkov
14-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (34%)
Sub (6%)
Decision (40%)
Losses (21%)
Tom Aspinall
8-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (68%)
Sub (23%)
Losses (9%)
No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%
Grappling Efficiency71%
Takedown Defense68%
Cardio & Endurance77%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy67%
Grappling Efficiency90%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Alexander Volkov
Tom Aspinall

This is the heavyweight title fight fans have been begging to see. Tom Aspinall, the interim champ who's been starching everyone in under a minute, against Alexander Volkov, the crafty Russian veteran who just beat Jailton Almeida in a split decision war. Aspinall's been on an absolute tear. Remember when he flatlined Sergei Pavlovich in 69 seconds at MSG? Or when he knocked Curtis Blaydes out cold in 60 seconds at UFC 304? The guy's a finishing machine. Volkov brings a completely different puzzle though. He's not rushing in to get caught.

Key Storylines
  • Aspinall's 60 second knockout power meets Volkov's patient gameplan
  • Can Drago survive the early storm and drag Tom deep?
  • Heavyweight title unification with contrasting styles colliding
Finishing Window

Aspinall's most dangerous in that opening minute, but if Volkov weathers the storm, rounds three through five could get really interesting for the veteran.

The stylistic clash here is wild. Aspinall's explosive power and speed against Volkov's patient, technical striking and 7 foot reach. Drago showed against Pavlovich he can outpoint dangerous strikers, going the full 15 minutes and winning a decision. He's also got that nasty submission game, caught Tai Tuivasa with an ezekiel choke from mount. Aspinall hasn't seen the championship rounds much because nobody survives his early blitzes. That no contest against Gane due to an eye poke at UFC 321 is still fresh, and Aspinall's been dealing with the aftermath. He revealed he might need surgery on the eye and expressed disappointment with how the UFC handled the situation publicly. Here's the thing, can Volkov survive that first round storm?

And if he does, what happens when Aspinall has to fight deep into a five rounder for the first time? Volkov's cardio looked solid going three hard rounds with both Gane and Almeida. The Russian's also shown he can mix in takedowns when needed, hitting 3 of 4 against Gane. His split decision loss to Gane at UFC 310 was razor close, could've gone either way. Volkov's currently ranked #4 in the heavyweight division after that controversial loss. This would be for the undisputed heavyweight strap. Aspinall's speed and power versus Volkov's experience and range. The kind of fight that answers whether anyone can actually survive Aspinall's opening assault, or if Drago's the guy who finally solves the puzzle.

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1 fight between them

  1. UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022

    Tom Aspinall defeated Alexander Volkov by submission at 3:45 of round 1 at UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall on March 19, 2022 in London, England, United Kingdom.

    SUBR1 · 3:45

Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall Stats Comparison

Age
37
•
33
Height
6'7" (201 cm)
•
6'5" (196 cm)
Weight
250 lbs (113 kg)
•
255 lbs (116 kg)
Reach
80" (203 cm)
•
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.8 significant strikes/min

Tom Aspinall averages 7.6 significant strikes per minute while Alexander Volkov sits at 4.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Alexander Volkov
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record4-1-014-5-0
Wins inside the distance1 (25%)7 (50%)
KO/TKO wins06
Submission wins11
Average fight time13:5512:57
Total strikes landed per min7.276.79
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.650.61
Control time per 15 min2:111:23
Tom Aspinall
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record3-1-0 (1 NC)8-1-0 (1 NC)
Wins inside the distance3 (100%)8 (100%)
KO/TKO wins36
Submission wins02
Average fight time1:382:18
Total strikes landed per min8.178.11
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.002.62
Control time per 15 min0:373:20

UFC bouts only, as of October 20, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Alexander Volkov 19/19, Tom Aspinall 10/10.

Alexander Volkov and Tom Aspinall: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

OpponentAlexander VolkovTom Aspinall
Ciryl GaneLoss Decision – Split · Dec 2024Loss Decision – Unanimous · Jun 2021No contest Could Not Continue, R1 · Oct 2025
Curtis BlaydesLoss Decision – Unanimous · Jun 2020Win KO/TKO, R1 · Jul 2024Loss KO/TKO, R1 · Jul 2022
Sergei PavlovichWin Decision – Unanimous · Jun 2024Win KO/TKO, R1 · Nov 2023
Marcin TyburaWin Decision – Unanimous · Oct 2021Win KO/TKO, R1 · Jul 2023

Previous meetings

  • Alexander Volkov: Loss Submission, R1 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 2022

Alexander Volkov: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinWaldo Cortes AcostaDecision – Unanimous· UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 2026
  2. WinJailton AlmeidaDecision – Split· UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 2025
  3. LossCiryl GaneDecision – Split· UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 2024
  4. WinSergei PavlovichDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 2024
  5. WinTai TuivasaSubmission, R2· UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 2023

Tom Aspinall: last 5 UFC fights

  1. No contestCiryl GaneCould Not Continue, R1· UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Oct 2025
  2. WinCurtis BlaydesKO/TKO, R1· UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 2024
  3. WinSergei PavlovichKO/TKO, R1· UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 2023
  4. WinMarcin TyburaKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 2023
  5. LossCurtis BlaydesKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 2022

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alexander Volkov and Tom Aspinall, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Volkov vs Aspinall odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Volkov vs Aspinall

Alexander Volkov vs Tom Aspinall is on the UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall card on Mar 19, 2022 at London, England, United Kingdom. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Volkov vs Aspinall: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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