Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega

Dec 8, 2018Toronto, Ontario, Canada

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Matthew Lopez

Record: 10-4-0

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Brad Katona

Record: 16-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Matthew Lopez

Brad Katona

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Matthew Lopez

Brad Katona

Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Matthew Lopez

KO/TKO (30%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (40%)

Brad Katona

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Matthew Lopez

Brad Katona

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From opening bell, Matthew Lopez can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Brad Katona looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Matthew Lopez

Matthew Lopez finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (30%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (40%)

Matthew Lopez breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Matthew Lopez's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Brad Katona must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matthew Lopez brings the more polished entries (60%) while Brad Katona relies on defensive frames (61%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Brad Katona

Brad Katona finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Brad Katona breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Brad Katona's recent form

Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

64" (163 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Brad Katona averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Matthew Lopez sits at 3.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Matthew Lopez and Brad Katona, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Lopez vs Katona odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Lopez vs Katona

Matthew Lopez vs Brad Katona is on the UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega card on Dec 8, 2018 at Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Lopez vs Katona: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.