Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Jul 25, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

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Alexander Gustafsson

Record: 18-8-0

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Fabricio Werdum

Record: 24-9-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Gustafsson

Fabricio Werdum

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Gustafsson

Fabricio Werdum

Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alexander Gustafsson

KO/TKO (35%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (31%)

Fabricio Werdum

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense83%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense31%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Alexander Gustafsson

Fabricio Werdum

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From opening bell, Alexander Gustafsson can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Fabricio Werdum looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Alexander Gustafsson

Alexander Gustafsson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (35%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (31%)

Alexander Gustafsson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense83%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Alexander Gustafsson's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Fabricio Werdum must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Alexander Gustafsson brings the more polished entries (39%) while Fabricio Werdum relies on defensive frames (31%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Fabricio Werdum

Fabricio Werdum finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (25%)

Fabricio Werdum breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense31%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Fabricio Werdum's recent form

Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'5" (196 cm)

•

6'4" (193 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

231 lbs (105 kg)

Reach

79" (201 cm)

•

77" (196 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Alexander Gustafsson averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Fabricio Werdum sits at 3.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alexander Gustafsson and Fabricio Werdum, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Gustafsson vs Werdum odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Gustafsson vs Werdum

Alexander Gustafsson vs Fabricio Werdum is on the UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till card on Jul 25, 2020 at Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Gustafsson vs Werdum: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.