Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Jul 25, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

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Mauricio Rua

Record: 27-14-1

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Rogerio Nogueira

Record: 23-10-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mauricio Rua

Rogerio Nogueira

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mauricio Rua

Rogerio Nogueira

Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mauricio Rua

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (18%)

Losses (35%)

Rogerio Nogueira

KO/TKO (43%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (35%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense49%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Mauricio Rua

Rogerio Nogueira

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From opening bell, Mauricio Rua can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Rogerio Nogueira looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Mauricio Rua

Mauricio Rua finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (47%)

Decision (18%)

Losses (35%)

Mauricio Rua breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency48%

Takedown Defense49%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Mauricio Rua's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Rogerio Nogueira must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Mauricio Rua brings the more polished entries (48%) while Rogerio Nogueira relies on defensive frames (62%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Rogerio Nogueira

Rogerio Nogueira finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (43%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (35%)

Rogerio Nogueira breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Rogerio Nogueira's recent form

Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

75" (191 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.1 significant strikes/min

Mauricio Rua averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Rogerio Nogueira sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mauricio Rua and Rogerio Nogueira, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Rua vs Nogueira odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Rua vs Nogueira

Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira is on the UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till card on Jul 25, 2020 at Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Rua vs Nogueira: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.