AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Brandon Moreno's back in a big spot against one of the scariest young guys in the division. "The Assassin Baby" has been on a roll lately - he just beat Steve Erceg back in March in Mexico City, and before that took out Amir Albazi in Edmonton last November. Both went the full five rounds, showing Moreno's still got that championship cardio and heart. Meanwhile, Taira bounced back from his only UFC loss to Brandon Royval by absolutely wrecking HyunSung Park with a nasty neck crank in August. That loss to Royval? Split decision that could've gone either way. Here's what makes this one interesting - Moreno's been in every situation you can imagine at flyweight.
He's won the belt, lost the belt, fought Figueiredo four times. The dude's seen it all. Taira's the young gun everyone's talking about as a future champ, and people like Charles Johnson are already saying he deserves a title shot if he wins this. That's the kind of hype following this kid around. The matchup's wild because Taira's grappling is legitimately scary - remember when he controlled Royval for over 12 minutes in that fight? But Moreno's no slouch on the ground either, and his striking has always been slick.
Moreno landed 132 strikes against Albazi and 95 against Erceg, showing he can keep the volume high for 25 minutes. Taira's got that 80% takedown rate from his last fight, so we'll see if Moreno can keep it standing. This is basically the veteran gatekeeper test for Taira - beat Moreno and you're in the title conversation for real. For Moreno, it's about proving he's still elite and not just a name for prospects to climb over.


UFC Record Breakdown
If Taira gets his hands locked, rounds two and three are where he finishes fights - but Moreno's proven he can survive anywhere for five full rounds.

Tatsuro Taira finish map

Tatsuro Taira breakdown
Brandon Moreno's back in a big spot against one of the scariest young guys in the division. "The Assassin Baby" has been on a roll lately - he just beat Steve Erceg back in March in Mexico City, and before that took out Amir Albazi in Edmonton last November. Both went the full five rounds, showing Moreno's still got that championship cardio and heart. Meanwhile, Taira bounced back from his only UFC loss to Brandon Royval by absolutely wrecking HyunSung Park with a nasty neck crank in August. That loss to Royval? Split decision that could've gone either way. Here's what makes this one interesting - Moreno's been in every situation you can imagine at flyweight.
He's won the belt, lost the belt, fought Figueiredo four times. The dude's seen it all. Taira's the young gun everyone's talking about as a future champ, and people like Charles Johnson are already saying he deserves a title shot if he wins this. That's the kind of hype following this kid around. The matchup's wild because Taira's grappling is legitimately scary - remember when he controlled Royval for over 12 minutes in that fight? But Moreno's no slouch on the ground either, and his striking has always been slick.
Moreno landed 132 strikes against Albazi and 95 against Erceg, showing he can keep the volume high for 25 minutes. Taira's got that 80% takedown rate from his last fight, so we'll see if Moreno can keep it standing. This is basically the veteran gatekeeper test for Taira - beat Moreno and you're in the title conversation for real. For Moreno, it's about proving he's still elite and not just a name for prospects to climb over.
If Taira gets his hands locked, rounds two and three are where he finishes fights - but Moreno's proven he can survive anywhere for five full rounds.

Brandon Moreno finish map

Brandon Moreno breakdown
Pace delta
+1.0 significant strikes/min
Brandon Moreno averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Tatsuro Taira sits at 3.0.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight

UFC 323 • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
