Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Jun 20, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Melissa Mullins

Record: 7-3-0

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Bia Mesquita

Record: 8-0-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Melissa Mullins

Bia Mesquita

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Melissa Mullins

Bia Mesquita

Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Melissa Mullins

KO/TKO (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Bia Mesquita

Sub (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency46%

Takedown Defense85%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency93%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Melissa Mullins

Bia Mesquita

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From opening bell, Melissa Mullins can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Bia Mesquita looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Melissa Mullins

Melissa Mullins finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Melissa Mullins breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency46%

Takedown Defense85%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Melissa Mullins's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Bia Mesquita must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Bia Mesquita owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (75%) but must solve the 85% sprawl from Melissa Mullins.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:3

Bia Mesquita

Bia Mesquita finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (100%)

Bia Mesquita breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency93%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ95%

Bia Mesquita's recent form

Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'4" (163 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

68" (173 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Bia Mesquita averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Melissa Mullins sits at 3.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Melissa Mullins and Bia Mesquita, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mullins vs Mesquita odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mullins vs Mesquita

Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita is on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card on Jun 20, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mullins vs Mesquita: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.