UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Modestas Bukauskas can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Rodolfo Bellato looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative.
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Modestas Bukauskas breakdown
Modestas Bukauskas's recent form
From opening bell, Modestas Bukauskas can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Rodolfo Bellato looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative. Rodolfo Bellato must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Modestas Bukauskas brings the more polished entries (66%) while Rodolfo Bellato relies on defensive frames (94%).
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
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Rodolfo Bellato finish map

Rodolfo Bellato breakdown
Rodolfo Bellato's recent form
Pace delta
+1.9 significant strikes/min
Rodolfo Bellato averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Modestas Bukauskas sits at 3.2.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.