Agent MMA Logo
AgentMMA

UFC Fight Night: Qatar
Nov 21, 2026In 59 daysDoha, Qatar
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Asu Almabayev 2.3 SLpM, Kyoji Horiguchi 3.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Asu Almabayev 50%, Kyoji Horiguchi 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: Asu Almabayev 2.0 abs/min, Kyoji Horiguchi 2.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Asu Almabayev 42%, Kyoji Horiguchi 40%
  • Takedown Defense: Asu Almabayev 44%, Kyoji Horiguchi 61%
  • Submission Threat: Asu Almabayev 1.5 per 15m, Kyoji Horiguchi 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Asu Almabayev
Kyoji Horiguchi

Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Asu Almabayev
7-1UFC Record
Sub (38%)
Decision (51%)
Losses (11%)
Kyoji Horiguchi
9-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (19%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (56%)
Losses (15%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency56%
Takedown Defense44%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense61%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Asu Almabayev
Kyoji Horiguchi

Doha gets a flyweight main event with a strange bit of shared history. Kyoji Horiguchi and Asu Almabayev both ran into Manel Kape, but they arrive here with very different momentum. Remember their last appearance on the same Doha card? Horiguchi choked out Tagir Ulanbekov, while Almabayev caught Alex Perez in a guillotine.

Key Storylines
  • Horiguchi returns to Doha, where he choked out Tagir Ulanbekov.
  • Almabayev has won three straight since Manel Kape stopped him.
  • One messy clinch could turn this main event upside down.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up after repeated clinch breaks, when both men must reset before the next exchange.

Horiguchi followed that night with a decision win over Amir Albazi before Kape stopped him with punches on the ground in his latest fight. Almabayev answered his own loss to Kape with three straight wins, finishing Perez and Charles Johnson after a decision over Jose Ochoa. One man is trying to bounce back, while the other wants to keep his run going. Here’s the thing: Almabayev caught Perez in the clinch and finished Johnson from back control, so Horiguchi cannot let close exchanges turn into long wrestling spells.

Horiguchi has a rear naked choke win of his own and needs clean exits after trading punches, before Almabayev can grab hold again. Watch what happens after a takedown attempt fails; the next few seconds could decide whether they stay in open space or end up fighting for position. Doha has already seen both men find a finish on the mat. This time, fans get to see how Horiguchi handles Almabayev’s pressure, and whether Almabayev can keep closing the distance against a man who knows his way out of a scramble.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi Stats Comparison

Age
32
35
Height
5'4" (163 cm)
5'4" (163 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
65" (165 cm)
63" (160 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Kyoji Horiguchi averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Asu Almabayev sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Asu Almabayev and Kyoji Horiguchi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Almabayev vs Horiguchi odds

Live Polymarket odds for Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Almabayev vs Horiguchi

Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Almabayev vs Horiguchi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events

Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi Prediction: AI Pick & UFC Odds | AgentMMA