Main Event Brief
Updated Jul 18
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Ilia Topuria 4.8 SLpM, Justin Gaethje 6.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Ilia Topuria 48%, Justin Gaethje 58%
  • Damage Avoidance: Ilia Topuria 3.8 abs/min, Justin Gaethje 7.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Ilia Topuria 61%, Justin Gaethje 40%
  • Takedown Defense: Ilia Topuria 93%, Justin Gaethje 74%
  • Submission Threat: Ilia Topuria 1.1 per 15m, Justin Gaethje —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Ilia Topuria
Justin Gaethje

Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Ilia Topuria
9-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (61%)
Sub (10%)
Decision (20%)
Losses (9%)
Justin Gaethje
11-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (48%)
Decision (28%)
Losses (24%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency66%
Takedown Defense93%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense74%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Ilia Topuria
Justin Gaethje

From opening bell, Ilia Topuria can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Justin Gaethje looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje Stats Comparison

Age
29
37
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
5'11" (180 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
70" (178 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Justin Gaethje averages 6.5 significant strikes per minute while Ilia Topuria sits at 4.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Topuria vs Gaethje odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

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