Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Nov 19, 2016Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

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Rogerio Nogueira

Record: 23-10-0

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Ryan Bader

Record: 23-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rogerio Nogueira

Ryan Bader

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rogerio Nogueira

Ryan Bader

Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Rogerio Nogueira

KO/TKO (43%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (35%)

Ryan Bader

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Rogerio Nogueira

Ryan Bader

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From opening bell, Rogerio Nogueira can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.4 significant strikes per minute while Ryan Bader looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Rogerio Nogueira

Rogerio Nogueira finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (43%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (35%)

Rogerio Nogueira breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy35%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense62%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ80%

Rogerio Nogueira's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ryan Bader must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ryan Bader owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (44%) but must solve the 62% sprawl from Rogerio Nogueira.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Ryan Bader

Ryan Bader finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (27%)

Sub (5%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (20%)

Ryan Bader breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency49%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ90%

Ryan Bader's recent form

Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

•

6'2" (188 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

75" (191 cm)

•

74" (188 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Ryan Bader averages 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Rogerio Nogueira sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Rogerio Nogueira and Ryan Bader, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nogueira vs Bader odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nogueira vs Bader

Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader is on the UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira card on Nov 19, 2016 at Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nogueira vs Bader: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.