Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

May 10, 2025Montreal, Quebec, Canada

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Brad Katona

Record: 16-5-0

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Bekzat Almakhan

Record: 12-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Brad Katona

Bekzat Almakhan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Brad Katona

Bekzat Almakhan

Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Brad Katona

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Bekzat Almakhan

KO/TKO (57%)

Losses (43%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense41%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Brad Katona

Bekzat Almakhan

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From opening bell, Brad Katona can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Bekzat Almakhan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Brad Katona

Brad Katona finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (64%)

Losses (36%)

Brad Katona breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Brad Katona's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Bekzat Almakhan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Brad Katona brings the more polished entries (34%) while Bekzat Almakhan relies on defensive frames (41%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Bekzat Almakhan

Bekzat Almakhan finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (57%)

Losses (43%)

Bekzat Almakhan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy34%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense41%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ75%

Bekzat Almakhan's recent form

Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'6" (168 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

64" (163 cm)

•

68" (173 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.2 significant strikes/min

Brad Katona averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Bekzat Almakhan sits at 1.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Brad Katona and Bekzat Almakhan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Katona vs Almakhan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Katona vs Almakhan

Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan is on the UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena card on May 10, 2025 at Montreal, Quebec, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Katona vs Almakhan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.