Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Jun 6, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Ketlen Souza

Record: 16-6-0

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Ariane Carnelossi

Record: 15-4-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Ketlen Souza

Ariane Carnelossi

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Ketlen Souza

Ariane Carnelossi

Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Ketlen Souza

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (30%)

Ariane Carnelossi

KO/TKO (21%)

Sub (21%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (36%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense22%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Ketlen Souza

Ariane Carnelossi

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From opening bell, Ketlen Souza can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Ariane Carnelossi looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:2

Ketlen Souza

Ketlen Souza finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (17%)

Sub (17%)

Decision (35%)

Losses (30%)

Ketlen Souza breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ80%

Ketlen Souza's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Ariane Carnelossi must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Ariane Carnelossi owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 53% sprawl from Ketlen Souza.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Ariane Carnelossi

Ariane Carnelossi finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (21%)

Sub (21%)

Decision (21%)

Losses (36%)

Ariane Carnelossi breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy38%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense22%

Cardio & Endurance72%

Fight IQ75%

Ariane Carnelossi's recent form

Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'3" (160 cm)

•

5'2" (157 cm)

Weight

115 lbs (52 kg)

•

115 lbs (52 kg)

Reach

63" (160 cm)

•

61" (155 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.4 significant strikes/min

Ketlen Souza averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Ariane Carnelossi sits at 2.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Ketlen Souza and Ariane Carnelossi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Souza vs Carnelossi odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Souza vs Carnelossi

Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi is on the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim card on Jun 6, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Souza vs Carnelossi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.