Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili

Mar 11, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Mario Bautista

Record: 18-3-0

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Guido Cannetti

Record: 10-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mario Bautista

Guido Cannetti

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mario Bautista

Guido Cannetti

Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mario Bautista

KO/TKO (7%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (49%)

Losses (17%)

Guido Cannetti

KO/TKO (16%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency52%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Mario Bautista

Guido Cannetti

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From opening bell, Mario Bautista can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.5 significant strikes per minute while Guido Cannetti looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:2

Mario Bautista

Mario Bautista finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (7%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (49%)

Losses (17%)

Mario Bautista breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%

Grappling Efficiency52%

Takedown Defense57%

Cardio & Endurance77%

Fight IQ80%

Mario Bautista's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Guido Cannetti must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Guido Cannetti owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (55%) but must solve the 57% sprawl from Mario Bautista.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Guido Cannetti

Guido Cannetti finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (16%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Guido Cannetti breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency60%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ80%

Guido Cannetti's recent form

Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'6" (168 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

68" (173 cm)

Stance

Switch

•

Southpaw

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

Mario Bautista averages 5.5 significant strikes per minute while Guido Cannetti sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mario Bautista and Guido Cannetti, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Bautista vs Cannetti odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Bautista vs Cannetti

Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti is on the UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili card on Mar 11, 2023 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Bautista vs Cannetti: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.