UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026In 57 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Merab Dvalishvili 4.3 SLpM, Petr Yan 5.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Merab Dvalishvili 42%, Petr Yan 54%
  • Damage Avoidance: Merab Dvalishvili 2.5 abs/min, Petr Yan 4.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Merab Dvalishvili 37%, Petr Yan 48%
  • Takedown Defense: Merab Dvalishvili 82%, Petr Yan 85%
  • Submission Threat: Merab Dvalishvili 0.3 per 15m, Petr Yan 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Merab Dvalishvili
14-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (6%)
Sub (6%)
Decision (73%)
Losses (15%)
Petr Yan
12-4UFC Record
KO/TKO (27%)
Decision (53%)
Losses (20%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense82%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency48%
Takedown Defense85%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan
Betting odds

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan sportsbook odds

Petr Yan is the betting favourite at -200 (1.50), with Merab Dvalishvili priced at +174 (2.74). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Merab Dvalishvili

Implied 36.5%Line shortening
+1742.74

Petr Yan

FavouriteImplied 66.7%Line drifting
-2001.50

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

This is the trilogy fight the bantamweight division needs. Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili split their first two wars, with Merab taking the first one back in March 2023 and Yan evening the score at UFC 323 in December 2025. Now they're set to run it back for the title, and fans have been begging for this rubber match since Yan got his hand raised. The Machine has been waiting patiently, and you know he's been thinking about that loss every single day. This matchup is a straight up nightmare to predict because their styles create absolute chaos. Merab is the cardio freak who never stops coming forward, mixing in takedowns with that relentless pressure.

Key Storylines
  • Trilogy for the title after splitting two absolute wars
  • Merab's relentless pace versus Yan's technical striking brilliance
  • Yan solved the puzzle last time, can Merab adjust?
Finishing Window

Championship rounds are where this gets decided, when Merab's cardio meets Yan's championship experience and one guy finally breaks.

Yan is the technical assassin who picks you apart with crisp boxing and brutal body work. When Merab won the first fight, he drowned Yan with volume and wrestling. When Yan won the rematch, he figured out the puzzle and outboxed The Machine over five rounds. The big question is whether Yan can replicate that success or if Merab makes the adjustments. Since that December loss, Merab's been grinding, and you know Serra Longo has been cooking up a new game plan. Yan's looked sharp lately too, beating Figueiredo and McGhee with that same ice cold precision.

This fight answers who's really the best bantamweight on the planet. With the title on the line, this is legacy defining stuff. Whoever wins this trilogy becomes the undisputed king at 135 and probably gets to call their next shot. The stakes couldn't be higher.

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Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan Stats Comparison

Age
35
33
Height
5'6" (168 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
67" (170 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
AI Division Rank
#1
Status
Champion
Contender

Key Insights: Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Petr Yan averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Merab Dvalishvili sits at 4.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Dvalishvili vs Yan odds

Live Polymarket odds for Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Dvalishvili vs Yan

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Dvalishvili vs Yan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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