UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Merab Dvalishvili can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Petr Yan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative.
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Merab Dvalishvili breakdown
Merab Dvalishvili's recent form
From opening bell, Merab Dvalishvili can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Petr Yan looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative. Petr Yan must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Petr Yan owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (48%) but must solve the 82% sprawl from Merab Dvalishvili.
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
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Petr Yan finish map

Petr Yan breakdown
Petr Yan's recent form
Pace delta
+0.8 significant strikes/min
Petr Yan averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Merab Dvalishvili sits at 4.3.
AI confidence
91%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan odds: Polymarket odds are added to this page when the market opens.