Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega

UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit

Jan 2, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Diego Brandao

Record: 22-11-0

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Brian Ortega

Record: 16-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Diego Brandao

Brian Ortega

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Diego Brandao

Brian Ortega

Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Diego Brandao

KO/TKO (12%)

Sub (24%)

Decision (36%)

Losses (29%)

Brian Ortega

KO/TKO (28%)

Sub (37%)

Decision (9%)

Losses (26%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency78%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Diego Brandao

Brian Ortega

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From opening bell, Diego Brandao can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.9 significant strikes per minute while Brian Ortega looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Diego Brandao

Diego Brandao finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (12%)

Sub (24%)

Decision (36%)

Losses (29%)

Diego Brandao breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency78%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Diego Brandao's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Brian Ortega must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Diego Brandao brings the more polished entries (68%) while Brian Ortega relies on defensive frames (54%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Brian Ortega

Brian Ortega finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (28%)

Sub (37%)

Decision (9%)

Losses (26%)

No Contest (1)

Brian Ortega breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense54%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Brian Ortega's recent form

Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

64" (163 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.9 significant strikes/min

Brian Ortega averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Diego Brandao sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Diego Brandao and Brian Ortega, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Brandao vs Ortega odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Brandao vs Ortega

Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega is on the UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit card on Jan 2, 2016 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Brandao vs Ortega: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.