Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara

UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit

Jan 2, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Michael McDonald

Record: 17-4-0

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Masanori Kanehara

Record: 26-12-5

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael McDonald

Masanori Kanehara

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael McDonald

Masanori Kanehara

Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Michael McDonald

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (25%)

Masanori Kanehara

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency76%

Takedown Defense52%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Michael McDonald

Masanori Kanehara

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From opening bell, Michael McDonald can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute while Masanori Kanehara looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Michael McDonald

Michael McDonald finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (25%)

Michael McDonald breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency76%

Takedown Defense52%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Michael McDonald's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Masanori Kanehara must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Michael McDonald brings the more polished entries (66%) while Masanori Kanehara relies on defensive frames (63%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Masanori Kanehara

Masanori Kanehara finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (60%)

Losses (40%)

Masanori Kanehara breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense63%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ80%

Masanori Kanehara's recent form

Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'9" (175 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

70" (178 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.8 significant strikes/min

Michael McDonald averages 2.7 significant strikes per minute while Masanori Kanehara sits at 1.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Michael McDonald and Masanori Kanehara, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

McDonald vs Kanehara odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch McDonald vs Kanehara

Michael McDonald vs Masanori Kanehara is on the UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit card on Jan 2, 2016 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for McDonald vs Kanehara: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.