Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis

UFC Fight Night 3

Jan 16, 2006Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Jason Von Flue

Record: 14-12-1

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Alex Karalexis

Record: 10-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason Von Flue

Alex Karalexis

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jason Von Flue

Alex Karalexis

Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jason Von Flue

Sub (60%)

Losses (40%)

Alex Karalexis

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense58%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Jason Von Flue

Alex Karalexis

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From opening bell, Jason Von Flue can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 1.9 significant strikes per minute while Alex Karalexis looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Jason Von Flue

Jason Von Flue finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (60%)

Losses (40%)

Jason Von Flue breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense58%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ70%

Jason Von Flue's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Alex Karalexis must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Alex Karalexis owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (45%) but must solve the 58% sprawl from Jason Von Flue.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Alex Karalexis

Alex Karalexis finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (60%)

Losses (40%)

Alex Karalexis breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Alex Karalexis's recent form

Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

—

•

66" (168 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.7 significant strikes/min

Alex Karalexis averages 2.6 significant strikes per minute while Jason Von Flue sits at 1.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jason Von Flue and Alex Karalexis, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Von Flue vs Karalexis odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Von Flue vs Karalexis

Jason Von Flue vs Alex Karalexis is on the UFC Fight Night 3 card on Jan 16, 2006 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Von Flue vs Karalexis: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.