UFC Record Breakdown
This one's got some wild backstory. Ankalaev was supposed to headline UFC Abu Dhabi against Khalil Rountree Jr., but Rountree got hurt and Guskov stepped up. Here's where it gets crazy: Jan Blachowicz revealed the UFC offered him Ankalaev first, but while he was thinking about the weight cut, they'd already locked in Guskov. So now we've got a fresh matchup between two guys who can crack. Ankalaev's coming off a rough stretch. He beat Alex Pereira by decision at UFC 313 to win the belt, then got absolutely starched in the rematch at UFC 320.
Both guys have finished their last few, so expect fireworks in the first two rounds when they're fresh and hunting.
Those elbows from half guard in round one ended his title reign quick. Before that title run, he was on a tear, knocking out Johnny Walker and grinding out Aleksandar Rakic. The guy's dangerous everywhere but that Pereira loss is still fresh. Guskov's been on a finishing spree. He knocked out Zac Pauga and Ryan Spann, then submitted Billy Elekana with a guillotine. Most recently he dropped Nikita Krylov with ground and pound in July.
His only blemish was a majority draw with Blachowicz back in December, where he landed 98 strikes and controlled nearly four minutes. Dude's got serious power and he's not scared to get after it. This is Ankalaev's chance to bounce back from that brutal knockout and prove he's still elite. Guskov's trying to crack the top five with the biggest name on his resume. Both guys finish fights, both throw heat, and someone's walking out with serious momentum.
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Magomed Ankalaev breakdown
Magomed Ankalaev's recent form
This one's got some wild backstory. Ankalaev was supposed to headline UFC Abu Dhabi against Khalil Rountree Jr., but Rountree got hurt and Guskov stepped up. Here's where it gets crazy: Jan Blachowicz revealed the UFC offered him Ankalaev first, but while he was thinking about the weight cut, they'd already locked in Guskov. So now we've got a fresh matchup between two guys who can crack. Ankalaev's coming off a rough stretch. He beat Alex Pereira by decision at UFC 313 to win the belt, then got absolutely starched in the rematch at UFC 320.
Both guys have finished their last few, so expect fireworks in the first two rounds when they're fresh and hunting.
Those elbows from half guard in round one ended his title reign quick. Before that title run, he was on a tear, knocking out Johnny Walker and grinding out Aleksandar Rakic. The guy's dangerous everywhere but that Pereira loss is still fresh. Guskov's been on a finishing spree. He knocked out Zac Pauga and Ryan Spann, then submitted Billy Elekana with a guillotine. Most recently he dropped Nikita Krylov with ground and pound in July.
His only blemish was a majority draw with Blachowicz back in December, where he landed 98 strikes and controlled nearly four minutes. Dude's got serious power and he's not scared to get after it. This is Ankalaev's chance to bounce back from that brutal knockout and prove he's still elite. Guskov's trying to crack the top five with the biggest name on his resume. Both guys finish fights, both throw heat, and someone's walking out with serious momentum.
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Bogdan Guskov breakdown
Bogdan Guskov's recent form
Pace delta
+0.5 significant strikes/min
Bogdan Guskov averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Magomed Ankalaev sits at 3.6.
AI confidence
79%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.