AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Jan Blachowicz is back in Vegas, and honestly, this is a massive test for where he's at right now. The former champ has dropped three straight - close split to Pereira, that wild draw with Ankalaev for the vacant belt, and most recently a decision loss to Carlos Ulberg in London back in March. Meanwhile, Bogdan Guskov is riding serious momentum after starching Nikita Krylov in July with ground and pound, adding to his crazy run of finishes over Ryan Spann and Zac Pauga. The Uzbek fighter has been on an absolute tear, finishing four straight fights. Here's the thing - Blachowicz is still dangerous as hell.
Remember when he caught Rakic with that injury TKO win in 2022? The Polish veteran knows how to get it done when his back's against the wall. But Guskov is young, hungry, and coming in hot with that knockout power. He's been finishing dudes left and right, and that guillotine he locked up on Billy Elekana at UFC 311 showed he's got skills everywhere. This is classic veteran savvy versus rising contender energy.
Blachowicz has been in there with the absolute best - he went five hard rounds with Ankalaev and traded leather with Pereira. Guskov's only UFC loss came via submission to Volkan Oezdemir back in 2023, but since then? Nothing but finishes. For Jan, this is about proving he's still got something left in the tank. For Guskov, it's about making a statement that he belongs in the top 15.


UFC Record Breakdown
Both guys hunt for finishes early, so expect fireworks in the first two rounds when they're freshest and looking to make a statement.

Jan Blachowicz finish map

Jan Blachowicz breakdown
Jan Blachowicz is back in Vegas, and honestly, this is a massive test for where he's at right now. The former champ has dropped three straight - close split to Pereira, that wild draw with Ankalaev for the vacant belt, and most recently a decision loss to Carlos Ulberg in London back in March. Meanwhile, Bogdan Guskov is riding serious momentum after starching Nikita Krylov in July with ground and pound, adding to his crazy run of finishes over Ryan Spann and Zac Pauga. The Uzbek fighter has been on an absolute tear, finishing four straight fights. Here's the thing - Blachowicz is still dangerous as hell.
Remember when he caught Rakic with that injury TKO win in 2022? The Polish veteran knows how to get it done when his back's against the wall. But Guskov is young, hungry, and coming in hot with that knockout power. He's been finishing dudes left and right, and that guillotine he locked up on Billy Elekana at UFC 311 showed he's got skills everywhere. This is classic veteran savvy versus rising contender energy.
Blachowicz has been in there with the absolute best - he went five hard rounds with Ankalaev and traded leather with Pereira. Guskov's only UFC loss came via submission to Volkan Oezdemir back in 2023, but since then? Nothing but finishes. For Jan, this is about proving he's still got something left in the tank. For Guskov, it's about making a statement that he belongs in the top 15.
Both guys hunt for finishes early, so expect fireworks in the first two rounds when they're freshest and looking to make a statement.

Bogdan Guskov finish map

Bogdan Guskov breakdown
Pace delta
+0.7 significant strikes/min
Bogdan Guskov averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Jan Blachowicz sits at 3.4.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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