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These two just went to war back in December and nobody could figure out who won. One judge had it for Guskov, one had it for Jan, and one called it dead even. That's the kind of fight that leaves everyone wanting more, and now we're getting the rematch. Fans are still debating who really took that first one. Guskov's been on an absolute tear since joining the UFC.
If Guskov can get Jan down and start landing ground strikes like he did against Krylov, the finish could come in rounds two or three when fatigue sets in.
He's finished three straight fights before that draw with Jan, putting away Zac Pauga, Ryan Spann, and Nikita Krylov. That knockout of Krylov in Abu Dhabi was nasty, ground and pound that had everyone talking. The Uzbek fighter's got serious power and he's not afraid to get dirty on the mat. Jan's in a weird spot right now. He's a former champ who's gone 1-2-2 in his last five, with draws against both Guskov and Magomed Ankalaev in that title fight back in 2022.
The loss to Carlos Ulberg in London earlier in 2025 stung, and at 42 years old, people are wondering how much he's got left. But this is still the guy who headlined his own card against Rakic and got that TKO win when Aleksandar's knee gave out. In their first meeting, Jan landed 100 strikes to Guskov's 98, but Guskov controlled over four minutes of cage time. That's the story right there. Jan's the more technical striker, but Guskov's the younger, hungrier guy who keeps the pressure on.
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Unlock full analysisJan Blachowicz finish map
Jan Blachowicz breakdown
Jan Blachowicz's recent form
These two just went to war back in December and nobody could figure out who won. One judge had it for Guskov, one had it for Jan, and one called it dead even. That's the kind of fight that leaves everyone wanting more, and now we're getting the rematch. Fans are still debating who really took that first one. Guskov's been on an absolute tear since joining the UFC.
If Guskov can get Jan down and start landing ground strikes like he did against Krylov, the finish could come in rounds two or three when fatigue sets in.
He's finished three straight fights before that draw with Jan, putting away Zac Pauga, Ryan Spann, and Nikita Krylov. That knockout of Krylov in Abu Dhabi was nasty, ground and pound that had everyone talking. The Uzbek fighter's got serious power and he's not afraid to get dirty on the mat. Jan's in a weird spot right now. He's a former champ who's gone 1-2-2 in his last five, with draws against both Guskov and Magomed Ankalaev in that title fight back in 2022.
The loss to Carlos Ulberg in London earlier in 2025 stung, and at 42 years old, people are wondering how much he's got left. But this is still the guy who headlined his own card against Rakic and got that TKO win when Aleksandar's knee gave out. In their first meeting, Jan landed 100 strikes to Guskov's 98, but Guskov controlled over four minutes of cage time. That's the story right there. Jan's the more technical striker, but Guskov's the younger, hungrier guy who keeps the pressure on.
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Bogdan Guskov breakdown
Bogdan Guskov's recent form
Pace delta
+0.7 significant strikes/min
Bogdan Guskov averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Jan Blachowicz sits at 3.4.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
