Main Event Brief
Updated Dec 14
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

Umar Nurmagomedov

Umar Nurmagomedov

Red Corner
Mario Bautista

Mario Bautista

Blue Corner

From opening bell, Umar Nurmagomedov can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Mario Bautista looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative.

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Umar Nurmagomedov
0-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (13%)
Sub (25%)
Decision (51%)
Losses (11%)
Mario Bautista
0-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (8%)
Sub (24%)
Decision (49%)
Losses (19%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy0%
Grappling Efficiency0%
Takedown Defense0%
Cardio & Endurance0%
Fight IQ0%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy0%
Grappling Efficiency0%
Takedown Defense0%
Cardio & Endurance0%
Fight IQ0%
Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Critical momentum swing identified—but which fighter capitalizes?
Finishing Window

AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.

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Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista Stats Comparison

Age
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.5 significant strikes/min

Mario Bautista averages 5.6 significant strikes per minute while Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 4.1.

AI confidence

80%

Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.

Finish radar

High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.

AgentMMA's neural stack layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Umar Nurmagomedov and Mario Bautista, then unlock the premium round map and staking plan.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's models flagged a high-confidence edge in this matchup. Unlock the full breakdown, confidence grade, and staking plan for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista.

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Confidence grade revealed inside

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