How AgentMMA breaks down Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista

Umar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
Mario Bautista
Blue CornerFrom opening bell, Umar Nurmagomedov can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Mario Bautista looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative.
Finish Maps
UFC Record Breakdown
Performance Stats
Performance Breakdown
Performance Breakdown
- First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
- Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
- Critical momentum swing identified—but which fighter capitalizes?
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.

Umar Nurmagomedov finish map

UFC Record Breakdown
Umar Nurmagomedov breakdown
Performance Breakdown
From opening bell, Umar Nurmagomedov can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Mario Bautista looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and a sharper blend of volume and takedown efficiency could flip the entire narrative. Mario Bautista must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Umar Nurmagomedov brings the more polished entries (47%) while Mario Bautista relies on defensive frames (54%).
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
- First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
- Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
- Critical momentum swing identified—but which fighter capitalizes?
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.

Mario Bautista finish map

UFC Record Breakdown
Mario Bautista breakdown













