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Data studies & research reviews

MMA Lab

Evidence-first research on how fights are really won: original studies computed from AgentMMA's bout database, plus honest reviews of published research. No hot takes.

Does Fight-Night Weight Regain Help UFC Fighters Win?
weight-cuttingResearch review

Does Fight-Night Weight Regain Help UFC Fighters Win?

Does UFC fight-night weight regain improve win odds? Compare 1,474 MMA weigh-ins, 616 UFC athletes, and conflicting evidence on size and recovery.

Oscar Nascimento
UFC KO vs TKO: What’s the Difference Under the Rules?
rulesExplainer

UFC KO vs TKO: What’s the Difference Under the Rules?

UFC KO vs TKO rules aren't as simple as conscious or unconscious. See official definitions, stoppage types, fight examples, and what 844 bouts show.

Oscar Nascimento
What Does No Contest Mean in UFC? Rules, Records and Data
rulesExplainer

What Does No Contest Mean in UFC? Rules, Records and Data

What does no contest mean in UFC? Learn the foul-time rules, record impact, title effects, famous examples, and all-time data from 8,940 fights.

Oscar Nascimento
Most Common UFC Submissions: What 3,123 Fights Show
submissionsResearch review

Most Common UFC Submissions: What 3,123 Fights Show

The rear-naked choke is the most common UFC submission. A 3,123-fight study shows how often submissions happen, which types lead, and the data limits.

Oscar Nascimento
Do UFC Age Gaps Matter? UFC Belgrade and 8,419 Fights
ageResearch review

Do UFC Age Gaps Matter? UFC Belgrade and 8,419 Fights

UFC age gap data tracks win rates across 8,419 fights, then puts the wide Błachowicz–Stirling and Medić–Rodriguez gaps in context at UFC Belgrade.

Oscar Nascimento
How to Convert UFC Odds to Implied Probability: Examples
bettingExplainer

How to Convert UFC Odds to Implied Probability: Examples

Convert UFC odds into implied probability, remove sportsbook vig, compare no-vig prices and read American, decimal and fractional odds correctly.

Oscar Nascimento
Does UFC Cage Size Change Finish Rates? What Data Says
statisticsResearch review

Does UFC Cage Size Change Finish Rates? What Data Says

Does UFC cage size change finish rates? A 1,572-fight UFC PI comparison finds fewer decisions in the 25-foot Octagon, with key limits and confounders.

Oscar Nascimento
Are UFC Stats Accurate? What Reddit Gets Right and Wrong
redditResearch review

Are UFC Stats Accurate? What Reddit Gets Right and Wrong

Are UFC Stats accurate? We test Reddit's biggest claims against FightMetric definitions, official judging rules, live counting methods, and record data.

Oscar Nascimento
Why Accurate UFC Prediction Models Can Still Lose Money
predictionsExplainer

Why Accurate UFC Prediction Models Can Still Lose Money

A UFC prediction model can pick most winners and still lose money. Learn how price, vig, calibration, variance and small samples separate accuracy from profit.

Oscar Nascimento
How Does an AI UFC Prediction Model Actually Work?
predictionsExplainer

How Does an AI UFC Prediction Model Actually Work?

See how an AI UFC prediction model turns fighter history into win probabilities, avoids data leakage, tests accuracy and handles matchup uncertainty.

Oscar Nascimento
UFC Weight Classes Explained: Limits and Weigh-In Rules
weight-classesExplainer

UFC Weight Classes Explained: Limits and Weigh-In Rules

UFC weight classes run from 115 to 265 pounds. See all men's and women's limits, the one-pound allowance, catchweights and missed-weight rules.

Oscar Nascimento
What Is a Technical Submission in UFC? Rules Explained
rulesExplainer

What Is a Technical Submission in UFC? Rules Explained

What is a technical submission in UFC? Learn when a no-tap choke or joint injury counts, and how it differs from a submission, knockout and TKO.

Oscar Nascimento