A detailed tactical analysis explores the central question of the Maddalena versus Prates bout: whether there will be a head-to-head clash in the center, and if not, who will fight moving backward. The analysis notes Prates has dropped opponents 11 times in the UFC while moving forward and rarely retreats, needing to advance to land his powerful left straight. Maddalena similarly builds his game on forward movement and has rarely been seen backing up. The piece highlights Maddalena's vulnerability, noting he absorbed over 50 clean straight punches against Belal Muhammad, while Prates needs only one clean shot to finish fights. The analyst points out that Maddalena's advantage lies in short combination boxing and counter-striking at close range, where Prates struggles when pressured. The breakdown references Ian Garry's success against Prates, attributing it to Garry's feel for reading the left straight from southpaws, his size, speed, and diverse striking including leg kicks. The analysis concludes with a cautious prediction favoring Maddalena to make Prates fight backing up and win by decision or TKO in rounds 3-4, while acknowledging the fight could become an instant classic.
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Fight AnnouncementJan 1










