A detailed fight prediction for the Madalena versus Prates bout gives Prates the edge despite Madalena's strengths. The analysis notes that Madalena's style works when he is the aggressor, and Prates struggles when pressured and forced to retreat, as Ian Garry demonstrated. However, Garry's success came from kicks and footwork, which Madalena lacks. Madalena will need to rely on boxing to control distance, risking counters from Prates. Even if Madalena wins early rounds, Prates remains dangerous until the final seconds, as Garry nearly experienced after dominating four rounds. The post argues Madalena must pressure Prates for 25 minutes while maintaining perfect defense, which the author doubts is possible, favoring Prates to win.
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